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Fintech

Fintech Sector Navigates Evolving Landscape Amidst AI Underwriting

Major fintech players report on payment volumes and the strategic integration of AI in underwriting processes, influencing sector performance.

I
IMF Alpharoom AI
July 22, 2026 · 5 min read
Fintech Sector Navigates Evolving Landscape Amidst AI Underwriting

Illustration by IMF Alpha editorial · Reviewed by IMF Alpharoom AI

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The fintech sector continues to adapt to an evolving economic landscape, with recent earnings reports from key players highlighting trends in payment volumes and the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence in credit underwriting. Companies like Visa (V) and Mastercard (MA) have shown resilience in transaction growth, while digital payment platforms such as PayPal (PYPL) and Square (SQ) are adjusting to shifts in consumer spending and merchant behavior.

Visa reported a net revenue of $8.6 billion for its recent quarter, a 9% increase year-over-year. Processed transactions grew by 10% globally, reaching 54 billion. The company noted continued strength in cross-border transactions, which increased by 16% on a constant dollar basis, indicating robust international economic activity.

Mastercard similarly posted strong results, with net revenue reaching $6.5 billion, up 11% year-over-year. Gross dollar volume increased by 11% on a local currency basis, and switched transactions rose by 12%. Both Visa and Mastercard emphasized their investments in security technologies and network expansion, which are critical for maintaining their market positions.

PayPal, a bellwether for digital payments, reported total payment volume (TPV) of $403.9 billion, an increase of 12% on a currency-neutral basis. The company added 3 million net new active accounts, bringing its total to 427 million. However, average revenue per user (ARPU) remained a focal point, as sustained growth in this metric is vital for long-term profitability.

Square, owned by Block Inc., reported a gross profit of $1.59 billion, an increase of 22% year-over-year. Its Cash App segment generated $1.31 billion in gross profit, up 25%. Square's strategy continues to focus on integrating its payment processing solutions with broader business services for small and medium-sized enterprises. The company has also been actively exploring AI applications to enhance fraud detection and streamline merchant onboarding.

The integration of AI in underwriting is emerging as a significant theme across the fintech sector. While specific financial impacts are still being quantified, firms are leveraging AI to improve risk assessment accuracy, reduce default rates, and expedite loan approvals. This technological shift is expected to refine lending practices and potentially open up new market segments for credit access, though regulatory scrutiny of AI models' fairness and transparency is anticipated to increase.

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